Approximating the epidemic curve
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Approximating the epidemic curve
Many models of epidemic spread have a common qualitative structure. The numbers of infected individuals during the initial stages of an epidemic can be well approximated by a branching process, after which the proportion of individuals that are susceptible follows a more or less deterministic course. In this paper, we show that both of these features are consequences of assuming a locally branc...
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I Generously made available by Dr. Max Bergmnann, Rockefeller Institute, New York. 8 Woods, D. D., Biochem. Jour., 29, 640 (1935). 9 Determined by the pea test, see van Overbeek, J., and Went, F. W., Bot. Gaz., 99, 22 (1937). 10 Berg, C. P., Rose, W. C., and Marvel, C. S., Jour. Biol. Chem., 85, 207 (1929-1930). 1 du Vigneaud, V., and Sealock, R. R., Ibid., 96, 511 (1932). 12 Microanalysis by D...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Electronic Journal of Probability
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1083-6489
DOI: 10.1214/ejp.v18-2557